Some Plainspeak, At Last
(Sunil Narula & R Sengupta | Outlook | May 11, 1998)
Tibet, and Beijing's military aid to Pakistan dominate the Chinese
army chief's visit to India
For once the Indians did not pull their punches. The much awaited
visit by Gen Fu Quanyou, chief of general staff of the Chinese
People's Liberation Army, saw some plaintalking from the Indian side,
though framed in diplomatic niceties. But the hamhanded handling
of Tibetans' hunger strike by the Indian authorities, which ended
tragically with one Tibetan self-immolating himself on April 27,
nearly overshadowed this important visit.
The hunger strike by Tibetan Youth Congress volunteers started on
March 10. But the government paid scant attention to it till the
wee hours of April 26, when it suddenly decided to move in and
remove three of the six hunger strikers to hospital.
The one issue on which the Chinese take India seriously is Tibet, as
they believe the Dalai Lama can orchestrate much mischief from here.
After that, claims Choekyong Wangchuk, secretary of the Tibetan
Youth Congress, they were assured by the Parliament Street police
station that nothing would happen for the next few days. But the
next day, the police moved in again to remove all of them. That's
when Thupten Ngodup, a 60-year-old Tibetan activist, set himself
ablaze. That act brought the focus back on the Tibetan strikers,
something the authorities wanted to avoid. The government's sudden
anxiety in getting rid of the Tibetan hunger strikers had little
to do with the deteriorating health of those fasting, but the fact
that Gen. Fu was going to be in New Delhi on April 27 and 28 to
meet Indian leaders. In the end, the timing was all wrong and the
government made a complete hash of it; it could have removed them
a week earlier or simply let them be.
No doubt, the Chinese army chief's trip to India is a significant
event. Naturally the government did not want any irritant like the
protest by the Tibetans, which Beijing is sensitive to. Sure enough,
the Chinese delegation expressed reservations over the political
activities of the Tibetans here. They conveyed their concern at the
increasingly overt political activities of Tibetans. The Indian
response was standard, that the government does not allow this
kind of activity, but as India is a democratic country, it can't
completely stop such protests.
But the more significant aspect of the visit was that the Indians,
perhaps for the first time, did some straight talking with the
Chinese. Defence minister George Fernandes expressed India's
concerns over the supply of Chinese missiles like M-11 and M-9 to
Pakistan. In fact, India suspects that Ghauri, the recently tested
missile, is a variant of a Chinese missile. The Chinese expectedly
denied they had supplied anything to Pakistan that would violate
the Missile Technology Control Regime.
The visit brought out the dichotomy in India's approach to
China. While the defence ministry has always advocated a more
aggressive and straight-talking posture, the MEA has tended to play
it cautiously. Army and defence ministry officials argue that they
are the ones who have to deal constantly with the Chinese either
on the border or face the repercussions of Chinese supplies to
Pakistan of either nuclear or missile technology. The MEA, on its
part, hushes the contentious aspects of Sino-Indian relations. In
fact, the MEA was not happy when, immediately after taking over,
Fernandes started issuing statements critical of the Chinese,
especially on the Ghauri missile.
The implementation of confidence building measures, like redeployment
and reduction of armed forces on the border, delineation of the
Line of Actual Control (LAC), the Chinese maps showing Sikkim and
Arunachal Pradesh as part of their territory, were among the other
issues which came up for discussion in Gen. Fu's meetings with
Fernandes. In another meeting, prime minister Atal Behari Vajpayee
drew attention to the problems along the LAC.
The Chinese official is believed to have agreed that the two
countries should move forward in delineating the LAC.
The helipad in Arunachal Pradesh also came up during the
talks. Vajpayee had contradicted his defence minister's statement
on this some weeks ago. Sources said Gen. Fu clearly conveyed to
the Indian side that such issues should not be raised publicly. The
helipad was built some time in the mid-'80s and the Indian government
was aware of this. It's a makeshift helipad, occasionally used by
the Chinese, which the Chinese claim is on their side of the LAC
in the Sumdarongchu valley.
The Indian army is believed to be keen on institutionalising a
process of regular dialogue with the Chinese army. While there is
a system of flag meetings on the border, there has been a certain
drift in these contacts in recent years. The Chinese are believed
to have agreed to refocus attention on this issue. Army chief Gen VP
Malik is said to have taken this up with the Chinese delegation. But
it is difficult to see a direct, institutionalised dialogue between
the armed forces beginning in the near future.
Interestingly, Gen Fu was accompanied by a tri-service delegation,
including Lt Gen. Liao Xilong, commander of the Chengdu Military
Region in which Tibet falls. When Chinese president Jiang Zemin
visited India in December 1996, he too was accompanied by the
chairman of the Chinese Autonomous Region of Tibet, Gyaltsen Norbu.
For China, the separatist movement in Tibet is a serious
problem. They are worried with the increasing support that the
Tibetans have mustered in the West, particularly in the US, where
both the government and the public have given tremendous support
to the Dalai Lama. The Chinese feel considerable mischief can be
orchestrated from India, given the fact that the Dalai Lama resides
here. Indeed, if there is one issue on which the Chinese take India
seriously, it is Tibet. In fact, Indian defence analysts agree that
China does not even consider India a serious security threat. The
Chinese, on the other hand, through supplies of nuclear and missile
technology to Pakistan, have managed to pin India down to dealing
with Pakistan. Which is why there is growing support in the Indian
establishment for further tests of the Agni missile, that can strike
deep inside China. And it would not be surprising if a test comes
very soon.
As for the self-immolation, the first of its kind, it is not clear
whether it marks a shift from the non-violent methods which have
characterised the Tibetan movement so far. There is no doubt that
the Tibetans are raising the tempo as they state their demands:
resumption of the UN debate on Tibet based on earlier resolutions;
appointment of a special UN rapporteur to investigate the human
rights situation in Tibet; and a UN supervised plebiscite to
ascertain the wishes of the Tibetan people. Wangchuk does not think
much of the renewed Chinese offer for conditional talks with the
Dalai Lama. "This is an old offer," he said.
The Dalai Lama, on his part, while saying he was deeply saddened by
the self-immolation by a Tibetan volunteer, said he is against any
form of violence, including hunger strikes and self-immolation. But
given the growing fervour among activists, can he prevent such
demonstrations?
|